Appendix B — Workforce housing affordability analysis

Using annual wage data of the Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News MSA from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), VCHR calculated maximum affordable monthly housing costs (30% of monthly income) for each occupation using three scenarios:

This analysis investigates housing affordability in Virginia Beach for employees working in the Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News MSA. It helps to evaluate whether the housing market adequately meets the needs of the labor market. Households spending more than 30% of household income each month for housing are considered cost-burdened and may have to sacrifice other necessities to obtain housing. VCHR compared the maximum affordable housing costs by occupation for workers in the scenarios described above to the lower quartile rent ($1,169), median rent ($1,433), upper quartile rent ($1,766), and median owner costs with a mortgage ($1,888) in Virginia Beach to identify workers (by occupation) who may not be able to access appropriate, affordable housing in the city.

VCHR analyzed housing affordability and occupational wages for the following occupation groups:

B.1 Housing affordability for the top 10 occupations in Virginia Beach

VCHR analyzed housing affordability for the top 10 occupations by employment — those with the highest number of employees — in Virginia Beach. Combined, these occupations make up about 21% of all employees who work in the MSA. These occupations can for the most part be categorized as service sector occupations and generally have the lowest wages. VCHR analyzed housing affordability for households in three household/earner scenarios (single earner with median wage, single earner with 90th percentile wage, and two earners with the same median wage).

As shown in Table B.1 afford below, workers in most of these occupations (8/10) cannot afford lower quartile rent as single earners, with two exceptions: general and operations managers (who can afford owner cost with a mortgage) and registered nurses (who can afford upper quartile rent). In fact, workers in the majority of these occupations (7/10) cannot afford to rent or own even if they earn in the 90th percentile. If a household has two earners at the same median wage, the situation improves. However, workers in three occupations — fast food and counter workers, cashiers, and home health and personal care aides — still cannot afford the median rent.

In terms of homeownership, the only occupation that can afford the owner costs with a mortgage for a single earner is the general and operations manager. When considering a single earner at the 90th percentile wage or a dual-earner scenario, registered nurses can also manage the owner costs.

Table B.1: Housing Affordability for the Top 10 Occupations by Employment

B.2 Housing affordability for state and local government employees/mandatory services

The state and local government sector is the essential job sector in the city, thus VCHR examined housing affordability for this occupation group. Occupations selected for analysis were those considered to provide mandatory services, such as teachers, firefighters, and childcare workers. Among workers in these occupations, both home health and personal care aides and childcare workers cannot afford the lower quartile rent even when earning at the 90th percentile wage. Furthermore, even when their earnings are doubled-up, they still cannot manage the median rent. In other words, these two occupations do not offer wages to afford rent in any given scenario. On the other hand, firefighters and postal service mail carriers can handle the median rent when earning at the 90th percentile and can afford ownership costs when their earnings are doubled-up.

The remaining six occupations — postsecondary teachers; kindergarten teachers, except special education; elementary school teachers, except special education; middle school teachers, except special and career/technical education; secondary school teachers, except special and career/technical education; and registered nurses — can afford the median rent as a single earner. Moreover, they can manage ownership costs when earning at the 90th percentile or when doubled-up.

Table B.2: Housing Affordability for Mandatory Service Occupations
Figure B.1: Housing Affordability for the Top 10 Occupations by Employment in MSA